
Will MrBeast or the USA reach 400,000,000 citizens/subscribers first?
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This is one of those goofy markets i'll probably never get to resolve
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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According to socialblade, MrBeast is expected to reach 400,000,000 on Mar 2025. (https://socialblade.com/youtube/channel/UCX6OQ3DkcsbYNE6H8uQQuVA/futureprojections)
Meanwhile, the Congressional Budget Office predicts that the US won’t even be there by 2052. (https://www.cbo.gov/publication/58612#:~:text=In%20CBO's%20projections%2C%20the%20U.S.,population%20growth%20beginning%20in%202042.)
Easy choice.
@Ibozz91 Socialblades projections for farther in the future are known to be wildly optimistic, idk if they are quadratic or exponential
That being said the US won’t hit 400M for a long time if ever so