MANIFOLD
NFL “Playoff Locks” markets (to make playoffs)
6
Ṁ300Ṁ2.8k
resolved Dec 28
Resolved
YES
Exactly 1 NFC East Team
Resolved
YES
Exactly 3 NFC West Teams
Resolved
YES
All ~100% (NE, DEN)
Resolved
YES
All ~98-99% (LAR, SEA, BUF, JAX)
Resolved
YES
Exactly 2 AFC West Team
Resolved
YES
Exactly 1 NFC South Team
Resolved
YES
Exactly 1 AFC North Team
Resolved
YES
Exactly 2 NFC North Teams
Resolved
YES
Exactly 2 AFC East Teams
Resolved
YES
Exactly 2 AFC South Teams
Resolved
YES
All ~90-95% (GB, HOU, PHI, SF)
Resolved
NO
Colts, Bengals, or Dolphins

Current Playoff Odds:

Tier 1 (almost guaranteed, need to lose out and every other team 8+ win team to nearly win out including Philip River led Colts to miss)

  1. NE: 100.0%

  2. DEN: 100.0%

    Tier 2 (near lock: need to lose all final 4 games to miss)

  3. BUF: 98.9%

  4. SEA: 98.8%

  5. LAR: 98.6%

  6. JAX: 98.5%

    Tier 3 (need to win 1, maybe 2 if easy schedule and other teams win):

  7. HOU: 94.8%

  8. GB: 94.0%

  9. SF: 92.8%

  10. PHI: 90.7% vs 20. DAL: 13.1%

    Tier 4 (On the edge: likely in)

  11. LAC: 77.1% vs 18. KC: 16.1%

    Tier 5 (Either or vs a division rival)

  12. TB: 69.8% vs 17. CAR: 30.6%

  13. PIT: 61.1% vs 16. BAL: 36.0%

  14. CHI: 59.8% vs 15. DET: 51.4%

    Spoilers (no expectations of getting in):

  15. IND: 13.5%

  16. CIN: 3.6%

  17. MIA: 0.4%

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