Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Next Sonnet model to top AECI
4
Ṁ275Ṁ407
2027
3%
5.6
3%
5.7
3%
5.8
1.4%
5.9
4%
6
3%
6.1
3%
6.2
3%
6.3
1.1%
6.4
4%
6.5
72%
None by Sonnet 6.5

Context:

  • Dario “Pacing the Frontier”

  • Sonnet 3.5 - 4.5 were all Anthropics “frontier model” at time of release (June ‘24 - Sep ‘25)

  • since Opus 4.5 - 5.5 (Nov ‘25 - Sep ‘26), only Opus and Mythos/Fable were released as “frontier models”

Resolves based on Anthropic System card / marketing for new (public) model releases

e.g. Sonnet 5.5 would have been NO based on the system card (167.93 < 169.12)

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!