MANIFOLD
Jayson Tatum Achilles Return in 2025-26
2
Ṁ250Ṁ117
Jun 30
76%
Plays >0:00 in Regular Season
72%
Returns and outperforms Neemias Queta
69%
Plays >0:00 in Playoffs
66%
Returns and plays more than 24 MPG
66%
Returns and outperforms Nikola Vucecic
54%
Returns and outperforms Payton Pritchard
50%
Returns and outperforms Derrick White
36%
Returns and outperforms Jaylen Brown
28%
Returns as a Top 10 NBA Player
20%
Returns then ruled out for season

The “outperforms” markets are up to my discretion

but aim to be objective

I’ll focus on the games after Tatum returns for an apples to apples comparison but if the sample size is too low

Jaylen Brown ≈ Top 15

Derrick White ≈ Top 30

Payton Pritchard ≈ Top 50

Neemias Queta ≈ Top 75

Nikola Vucevic ≈ Top 100

the purpose of those 5 markets it’s to gauge whether if/when Tatum returns if he’ll be the Celtics

1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, or 5th best player

Market context
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