Resolves according to this formula

(Total Dem votes)⁶⁰ ÷ [(Total Dem votes)⁶⁰ + (Total Rep votes)⁶⁰]

rounded to nearest %

Table for reference:

Republicans +4: 1%

Republicans +3: 3%

Republicans +2: 8%

Republicans +1.5: 14%

Republicans +1: 23%

Republicans +0.5: 35%

Tie: 50%

Democrats +0.5: 65%

Democrats +1: 77%

Democrats +1.5: 86%

Democrats +2: 92%

Democrats +3: 97%

Democrats +4: 99%

Example calculation

2020 Election:

81,283,501⁶⁰ ÷ [81,283,501⁶⁰ + 74,223,975⁶⁰] = 99.57% => resolves as YES

Here is a graph, note that taking it to the power of 60 has the effect of amplifying the margin 60x when the margin is small then tapers off with 4.5% as the minimum margin in order to resolve as YES/NO