Which phone released before 2026 will have the highest sales in its first 30 days?

Question

1: If phone is not released before 2026: resolves to NO

2: If phone is released before 2026 and loses to the others: resolves NO

3: If phone is released before 2026 and beats the others: resolves YES

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Google Pixel 11 Pro, followed by Apple iPhone 18 Pro and Samsung Galaxy Z Fold 8 are most likely. See the market for live updates (3 traders, as of Jul 21, 2026).

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