Tl;dr: Here's my project.

Manifund just launched the EA Community Choice fund, where EA Community members can receive funding to contribute to projects.

I've had a lot of Forecasting Tool ideas kicking around, so I put them all together at Charlie's Forecasting Tools | Manifund.

Here's a quick snippet from the project page:

Project summary

A host of trader tools to enhance the forecasting ecosystem. I will work to build and maintain working versions of the following tools based on interest:

Manifold Tools so far, featuring recurring markets. (Backend still in progress).

Here's a Claude Summary of the Tool ideas. More details for each one at the actual project page:

1. Managram Subscriptions

- Recurring mana payments (Unlikely due to Managrams being discontinued)

2. Recurring Markets

- Web app for easy creation and maintenance of recurring markets on Manifold

3. Manifold Arbitrage Bot

- Private tool for automatic arbitraging between markets

4. Committee-Resolved Markets

- Tool for markets to be resolved by multiple users or non-creators

5. Manifold Commitment Market Manager

- System for personal goal-setting with recurring commitment markets

6. Super Secret Private Manifold Markets

- Tool for creating encrypted private markets on Manifold

7. AI Resolution Criteria Creator

- Tool to auto-generate strong resolution criteria based on Manifold question text

8. AI Market Creator and Resolver

- System for AI-managed markets with optional Twitter/Manifold integration

9. Manifold Alerts

- Improvements to @manifoldmaven Twitter bot

10. Manifold Loan Infrastructure

- Tool for managing mana lending and borrowing (Unlikely due to Managrams discontinuation)

11. Manifold Tipping

- Chrome extension for easier tipping and tip display

12. Predictor's Digest

- News site or newsletter for important prediction market changes

13. Personal Prediction Tracker

- Tool for tracking personal predictions (May be modified to build on existing Fatebook app)

14. Kalshi API Manager

- Tools for advanced betting strategies on Kalshi

15. Project Predictor

- Project management tool with built-in forecasting

^^^Project Predictor MVP in the wild


You can also check out the project page to see how projects will be prioritized.


This market is meant to assess how much real funding will be allocated to this project via Manifund, not including matching, so you don't have to do any quadratic calculations to bet.

Notation example: ($500 to $1000] means greater than $500 and less than or equal to $1000. I will use decimals if they are available.