Resolves as YES immediately if Transnistria manages to restore its gas supply to a sufficient level to provide heating and warm water to its households. It resolves as NO after a cold winter.
Background:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/breakaway-moldovan-region-cuts-heating-hot-water-after-russia-stops-gas-flow-2025-01-01/
I will not bet in this market.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ91 | |
| 2 | Ṁ16 |
People are also trading
Gas supply was restored in February:
Since early February, Moldova has been supplying Transnistria with 3 million cubic metres of gas per day, restoring heating and allowing a return to gas-fired electricity generation. However, this supply is insufficient to restore industrial production in the region to last year’s levels
This might solve Transnistria's gas problem. Russia is apparently contemplating paying 164 million dollars to keep the Russian-occupied region afloat.
https://kyivindependent.com/russia-discusses-buying-gas-for-transnistria-in-europe-media-reports
Not enough to resolves as YES, as heating is not yet restored at all: Authorities in Moldova's Russian-controlled region of Transnistria announced on Jan. 11 that energy-saving measures have allowed them to ease restrictions caused by a halt of Russian gas supplies. The duration of rolling blackouts is set to decrease further.
[...]
Transnistria's Russian-installed officials reported on the region's Telegram channel that rolling blackouts, initially lasting eight hours earlier this week, were cut to five hours on Jan. 10 and would be reduced to three hours on Sunday. First Deputy Prime Minister Sergei Obolonik said: "With current super efficiencies in consumption, Transnistria has enough gas until the end of January."
https://kyivindependent.com/transnistria-eases-blackouts-amid-gas-shortage
This doesn't sound like Transnistria is going to solve its gas problem any time soon
https://kyivindependent.com/as-russia-cuts-transnistria-from-gas-stranded-locals-look-who-to-blame/