Will the Georgian Dream party win the election?
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https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cqj0l8rpvelo

Georgians are voting today in a high-stakes election concerning their future in Europe.

The market will resolve as YES if the Georgian Dream party remains in power. Resolution may be postponed as long as the election's outcome remains unclear.

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https://oc-media.org/georgian-dream-revives-threats-of-banning-rivals/

The opposition is apparently doing everything in its power to prevent the inauguration, refusing to attend and demanding a redo of the vote. The Georgian Dream party may instead pursue banning the opposition by appealing to the Constitutional Court, which has recently shown full support for the party.

I will consider the Georgian Dream party to have remained in power once they are inaugurated as the new government, even if they are quickly overturned. Typically, the inauguration happens a few weeks after the election, but likely due to the protests, there is no planned date for now

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ce314y70lnpo

Although the Central Election Commission has declared the Georgian Dream party the victorious party, the election results are disputed. The opposition has not conceded, making it not entirely clear whether the party will stay in power.

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