MANIFOLD
Conditional on a floor vote, how many Democrats will vote AGAINST the proposed motion to vacate the House Speaker?
16
Ṁ1kṀ595
resolved Jan 5
ResolvedN/A
26%
0-50
0.8%
51-100
4%
101-150
69%
151-200
0.2%
201-213

  • Update 2025-05-01 (PST): - If there is no floor vote on the motion to vacate, the market will resolve as N/A. (AI summary of creator comment)

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US Politics
Republican Party
Democratic Party
118th Congress
Speaker of the House election
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Since the previous Congress has ended and there was no floor vote on the motion to vacate, this market will resolve N/A.

To clarify, today’s vote was on the motion to table the motion to vacate. Technically this prevented the motion to vacate from being brought to the floor for a vote.

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