Will Ukraine take control of the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant by the end of this month?
➕
Plus
149
Ṁ140k
resolved Aug 31
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if at any point in time, Ukraine takes control of the Kurs Nuclear Power Plant, by the end of August 31, 2024 (Ukraine time), according to maps provided by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ2,358
2Ṁ1,106
3Ṁ988
4Ṁ681
5Ṁ661
Sort by:
bought Ṁ200 NO

Insight Prediction market up. Odds a bit lower than here or at polymarket. https://insightprediction.com/m/301577/will-ukraine-take-the-kursk-nuclear-plant-by-aug-31

An analysis of why so many Russian troops (~1-2k) are surrending in Kursk, and how this could trigger an exponential domino effect of surrenders.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0hAoGbUyCMc

Honestly I wish I had more mana to throw at a YES prediction, it's insane how much I'll win at 8%, I"m kind of disappointed that I bought in around 17% lol

The Enforcer says the shots in this reddit video sound like be M777 artillery shells, which means the Ukrainian Artillery can't be more than 20 km away from the Kursk Oblast.
https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/1ep4woj/explosions_being_heard_in_kursk/

https://www.youtube.com/live/MvFNWk-q1K0?feature=shared&t=2222

Map of the invasion on The Enforcer's Youtube Channel, which covers the war in Ukraine.

https://www.youtube.com/live/MvFNWk-q1K0?feature=shared&t=2222

https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1822617962454397322

"Russian troops building fortifications south of Kurchatov, where the Kursk nuclear power plant is located: satellite images"

The powerplant feeds ~90% of the industry in the Kursk region and represents about 1.5% of all russian electricity production, so its shutdown could potentially affect millions of russians and lots of industry and mining (especially iron ore). Both sides know this.

https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1822161532228104696

Russian Sources report that the Ukrainian Army has been moving closer to Kurchatov (Town bordering the Powerplant) during this night.

https://x.com/mission_rf/status/1821985720833347858

The Russian Permanent Mission to the International Organizations in Vienna reports:

"Russia informed #IAEA about the situation at the Kurskaya NPP in light of Ukraine’s attack of the Kursk Region:

On August 8, fragments & remnants – presumably, pieces of intercepted rockets – were discovered at the plant, incl. in the radioactive waste processing area."

https://x.com/igorsushko/status/1821972253942395144

"Russia: Electrical substation destroyed in Oktyabrsky district, west of the Kursk Nuclear Powerplant and east of Kursk city proper.

The district's electricity is out."