Hamas is rejecting the hostage deal that Israel proposed:
Hamas indicates it will snub latest hostage deal offer, but says talks to continue | The Times of Israel.

Of course Hamas wants the talks to continue so they can buy time, but Israel had called it their last chance. And Netanyahu wants to invade Rafah anyway, even if there is a deal with some temporary ceasefire:
Israel's Netanyahu vows to invade Gaza's Rafah 'with or without' a hostage deal : NPR

The only roadblock is that Israel doesn't want to lose US support. And if there are too many casualties, Biden will be forced to condemn them. So they're still trying to figure out a plan:
Israel briefs US on plan to move Gazans ahead of Rafah invasion - POLITICO

So it doesn't sound like the invasion is happening within the next week, but I'm pretty confident it will happen by the end of May.

https://www-timesofisrael-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.timesofisrael.com/israel-tells-egypt-its-giving-hostage-deal-last-chance-before-launching-rafah-op/amp/?amp_js_v=0.1&amp_gsa=1#webview=1

Will this market resolve at the end of May? If not, oughtn't there be more options?

Also, what's the difference between "Other" and "Israel will not" on this market? Are there any eventualities not covered by the other options?

@DanielFox9fff you can freely add options. I just added June 2024. Other is an automatic option covering anything between June and 'will not.' Note: if you have a share in Other, you will get a tiny share in any new option created after you bought your Other shares.

"Israel was set to take its first steps toward a ground offensive in Rafah this week, but has delayed those plans as it mulls a response to Iran’s attack, two Israeli sources tell CNN."

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/middleeast/live-news/israel-hamas-war-gaza-news-04-15-24/index.html

This sounds like preparation for an attack: https://www.aol.com/news/israel-pounds-rafah-southern-gaza-103036127.html

@CelebratedWhale Is it time to resolve February as NO?

@GazDownright Yes but I'm not sure if I'm able to resolve one thing as no

@CelebratedWhale I've seen it done on the "mega" markets. If something happens you can always "unresolve."

@GazDownright I'm happy to do it I just legitimately do not know how

@GazDownright I think that only works for unliked multi markets, those that can resolve to more than one

@Shump I see, that makes sense, thanks for chiming in.