Will any Manifund proposal be funded at a $50K+ valuation by end of 2023?
11
closes 2024
46%
chance

Related markets

Will any Manifund proposal be funded at a $100K+ valuation by end of 2023?28%
Will any Manifund proposal be funded at a $1M+ valuation by end of 2023?10%
Will Manifund have another impact certificate funding round in 2023?66%
Will projects funded via Manifund be able to issue additional impact certificates for sale on the platform in 2023?67%
Will the Founder's Pledge's "total value pledged" be over $8 billion at the end of 2023?89%
Will there be more insider-led funding rounds in 2023?57%
Will GiveWell fund/recommend cash grants to high-growth microentrepreneurs by January 2028?32%
Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?65%
Will the LEV Foundation spend at least 5 million USD in 2025?55%
Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2030?46%
Will a nonprofit receive funding through charity equity/impact certificates by the end of 2023?90%
Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2025?25%
Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) donor before 2030?83%
How will the ACX/Manifund Forecasting Impact Mini-Grants oracular funding be distributed?
What will be the level of philanthropic funding for nuclear issues in 2025?5.5M
Will the Unstable Diffusion team be able to complete their fundraise through alternate means within a year?92%
Will the LEV Foundation spend at least 30 million USD in 2025?51%
Will there be >5 stories of money donated by FTX/FTX Foundation (etc) being frozen or threatened to be before July 2023?9%
Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) cumulative donor before 2025?60%
Will the LEV Foundation spend at least 1 million USD in 2025?65%