Background:
minifest is a Manifest-style pre-Manifest unconference I'm hosting on Sunday, May 31, 2026, at Mox, from 12–6 PM (6 hours). I selected this length because it seemed like enough time for 3-4 unconference session blocks plus unstructured social time. These markets are an attempt to find out whether this was the correct judgement.
Related market: What portion of attendees will say minifest was too long?
Resolution criteria (both markets):
The post-event feedback form will include a question along the lines of:
"How did the length of Minifest feel to you? (Too short / Just right / Too long)"
Market 1 resolves to: (Too long responses) ÷ (total responses to this question) × 100%, rounded to the nearest whole number.
Market 2 resolves to: (Too short responses) ÷ (total responses to this question) × 100%, rounded to the nearest whole number.
Details:
Only attendees who actually showed up count
Non-responders are excluded from the denominator.
Minimum sample threshold: each market resolves N/A if fewer than 1/3 of attendees respond to the form.
I commit to reporting raw percentages in good faith.
If I do not end up administering a post-event feedback form, or minifest does not happen, the market will resolve N/A.
Resolves by: June 3, 2026.