following the beginning of operation "Northern Arrows" and the escalation in Israel-Hezbbolah war, there is an increased concern that this might be a prolonged situation, and Hezbullah will continue to launch missles\rockets\UAV to Israel.
In order to quantify the de-escaltion (that hopefully will follow), I have set a measured quantity of 0 alarms in Haifa City (and the Krayot area) in November.
This Question will Resolve NO, if there will be at least one alarm in the Haifa area, in November, according to Israel Homefront:
https://www.oref.org.il/eng/alerts-history
Otherwise, this question resolves YES
1,000
3.00
@CarmelHadar why not? even though I'm pretty pessimistic in this regard, the question makes sense as a proxy of the escalation.
@CarmelHadar I think it roughly balances out (increased motive but reduced capacity) over this horizon