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MANIFOLD
[Short-Fuse] Will I be COVID positive today evening?
12
Ṁ400Ṁ313
resolved Mar 9
Resolved
YES

We're once again degenerately gambling on my health status.

Resolves Yes if I am still covid positive on a lateral flow test this evening (Central Europe timezone maybe 1900), ie in about 9-10 hours. I'll sample with as much gusto as usual (nasal until brush wet, back of throat poke, one cheek swipe), use the same test as below, and squint as hard as I usually do to find the lines. Faint T line will count as Yes. Really no T line as as No.

I'll put up a limit order for Yes to use this market as insurance. Pic will be posted for resolution, though

Latest tests (D-2 afternoon, D-1 morning, D-1 afternoon. Separate image: D morning, previous market)

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And for this second (and last) installment, another p-p-p-positive for the Yes!

bought Ṁ50 YES

Will you retest to confirm negative if/when you take a test and the line doesn’t appear? (Rapid antigen tests are significantly more prone to false negatives than false positives, as I understand)

@snazzlePop Yes, gonna do a second one like 8-12 hours after the first negative w/r/t real life activities. But for these markets, just gonna resolve whatever I get at close time.