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MANIFOLD
Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket
14
Ṁ300Ṁ689
resolved Oct 7
Resolved
YES
Astrophysics or Cosmology
Resolved
NO
Particle Physics
Resolved
NO
Condensed Matter Physics
Resolved
NO
Optics or Photonics
Resolved
NO
Quantum Mechanics (includes Quantum Computing)
Resolved
NO
Superconductivity
Resolved
NO
Atomic or Molecular Physics
Resolved
NO
Geophysics, Climate or Atmospheric Physics
Resolved
NO
Thermodynamics
Resolved
NO
Biophysics
Resolved
NO
Fluid dynamics
Resolved
NO
Semiconductor Physics

These independent markets resolve Yes if any of the 2026 Physics Nobels are awarded for work in X, in whole or in large parts. Multiple markets can, and probably will, resolve Yes.

You can request fields I might have forgotten, but I'm not doing too niche things I would have difficulty resolving.

In case of ambiguity, I will discuss in the comments and might resolve N/A. I have formal education in the field, and will not participate to stay impartial. Despite this, there is some element of subjectivity in the resolution. I will provide my rationale for resolving, and you can also look at my previous Nobel market to judge my reliability.

Will be announce October 6th, 2026 11:45 CEST. Closing one day earlier (Until the exact date is known, market is set to close on the last day of September).

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Nobel for F. Halzen for the neutrino observatory IceCube. Clearly astrophysics/cosmology. After careful deliberation, I have decided to resolve Particle physics No, despite some applications of IceCube to neutrino characterization, and Halzen himself being a big particle guy, given the prize notice is centered on the astrophysical aspects and does not honor the particle physics applications.

https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/physics/2026/press-release/

bought Ṁ1 YES

Would most semiconductor also be condensed matter?

@smnsmnsmnsmns Most likely Yes