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MANIFOLD
Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket
14
Ṁ300Ṁ689
Oct 5
32%
Astrophysics or Cosmology
29%
Geophysics, Climate or Atmospheric Physics
29%
Condensed Matter Physics
27%
Quantum Mechanics (includes Quantum Computing)
26%
Optics or Photonics
24%
Atomic or Molecular Physics
24%
Semiconductor Physics
17%
Biophysics
14%
Superconductivity
11%
Fluid dynamics
6%
Particle Physics
5%
Thermodynamics

These independent markets resolve Yes if any of the 2026 Physics Nobels are awarded for work in X, in whole or in large parts. Multiple markets can, and probably will, resolve Yes.

You can request fields I might have forgotten, but I'm not doing too niche things I would have difficulty resolving.

In case of ambiguity, I will discuss in the comments and might resolve N/A. I have formal education in the field, and will not participate to stay impartial. Despite this, there is some element of subjectivity in the resolution. I will provide my rationale for resolving, and you can also look at my previous Nobel market to judge my reliability.

Will be announce October 6th, 2026 11:45 CEST. Closing one day earlier (Until the exact date is known, market is set to close on the last day of September).

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bought Ṁ1 YES

Would most semiconductor also be condensed matter?

@smnsmnsmnsmns Most likely Yes