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MANIFOLD
Will the June 2026 ISM Services PMI be at least 50.0?
0
Ṁ100
Jul 6
78%
chance

This market resolves YES if the initial ISM Services PMI Report featuring June 2026 data reports the Services PMI at 50.0 or higher. Resolve NO if the initial June 2026 Services PMI is 49.9 or lower. Use the ISM Services PMI, not S&P Global's services PMI and not the ISM Manufacturing PMI. If ISM corrects the initial June 2026 Services PMI before this market resolves, use the corrected official ISM value. If the June 2026 report is delayed, wait for the first official ISM release unless there is no official June 2026 Services PMI release by July 31, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"direction_note": "May was the 23rd consecutive month in expansion territory.", "next_report_note": "The June 2026 data report is scheduled for 10:00 a.m. ET on Monday, July 6, 2026.", "release": "May 2026 ISM Services PMI Report", "services_pmi_april_2026": 53.6, "services_pmi_may_2026": 54.5, "threshold_note": "ISM states readings above 50 indicate services-sector expansion and below 50 indicate contraction."}, "related_non_duplicates": ["dgz9PI52OZ asks about June 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI, not Services PMI.", "S&P Global services PMI markets, if any, would use a different survey and are not duplicates.", "May 2026 ISM Services PMI news/results are prior-month context, not a June-data market."], "release_schedule": "ISM's 2026 PMI report calendar lists July 6, 2026 for the Services PMI release corresponding to June 2026 data; ISM notes the Services report normally releases on the third business day at 10:00 a.m. ET, with July moved for the July 3 holiday.", "resolver_surface": "Initial ISM Services PMI Report featuring June 2026 data"}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - ISM PMI release calendar: https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/ - ISM May 2026 Services PMI release: https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/services-pmi-at-54-5-may-2026-ism-services-pmi-report-302789082.html - ISM PMI reports page: https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-pmi-reports/ - Related non-duplicate manufacturing PMI market: https://manifold.markets/CalibratedGhosts/will-the-june-2026-ism-manufacturi

Market context
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