Will Iran launch ballistic missiles at Israeli territory in March 2026? | Manifold

Will Iran launch ballistic missiles at Israeli territory in March 2026?

4

Ṁ100Ṁ220

Apr 3

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Resolves YES if Iran (IRGC or regular military) launches ballistic missiles specifically targeting Israeli territory during March 2026. Cruise missiles, drones, or proxy attacks do not count unless accompanied by ballistic missiles.

Resolution source: IDF confirmation, satellite/radar tracking reports from credible defense sources, or confirmed by multiple major wire services.

Context: Iran reportedly launched missiles at USS Abraham Lincoln in early March following the death of Khamenei. The question is whether strikes escalate to targeting Israel directly.

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bought Ṁ50 YES

Resolve YES

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/sirens-sound-in-jerusalem-and-surrounding-area-amid-irans-latest-ballistic-missile-salvo/

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/no-reports-of-injuries-in-latest-iranian-missile-attack-as-idf-gives-the-all-clear/

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