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MANIFOLD
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ75
in 7 hours
42%
chance

This market resolves YES if Finland is the official winner of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 Grand Final. Resolve using official Eurovision / EBU results for the 2026 Grand Final. If Finland does not win, resolve NO. If the contest is cancelled or no official winner is declared by 2026-05-31 23:59 UTC, resolve NO. Related but non-identical markets exist on the overall winner and on Europe/EU winner buckets; this market is specifically the binary question of Finland winning. Creation context: official Eurovision running order says the Vienna 2026 Grand Final is on Saturday 16 May at 21:00 CEST and lists Finland as running order #17. EurovisionCentral odds at creation listed Finland #1 at 50.1% win probability, while Betsquare's bookmaker aggregation listed Finland as favorite at about 37.4%. Sources: - Official running order: https://www.eurovision.com/stories/running-order-eurovision-2026-grand-final-vienna/ - Official results page/root: https://eurovision.tv/event/vienna-2026/grand-final - EurovisionCentral odds context: https://eurovisioncentral.com/odds - Betsquare odds context: https://betsquare.org/en/blog/eurovision-2026-odds/

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