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MANIFOLD
Will Ciconia: When They Cry Phase 2 be released by the end of 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ50
2027
10%
chance

This market resolves YES if Ciconia: When They Cry Phase 2, or an official release that is clearly the same second main story arc under a renamed title, is publicly released on any platform before 2027-01-01 00:00 UTC. A release can be Japanese-only or multilingual, physical or digital. A demo, script preview, artbook excerpt, trailer, store placeholder, preorder page, or announcement without a playable public release does not count. If Phase 2 is bundled with a larger Ciconia/When They Cry release, it counts only if the Phase 2 story content itself is publicly playable/readable. Resolution sources: official 07th Expansion / Ryukishi07 channels, MangaGamer/Steam/store pages, VNDB release records, and broadly reliable visual-novel news coverage. VNDB lists Ciconia as a visual novel, and this question is being created for Tulip's Visual Novels market bounty. Pre-creation duplicate/source notes: Manifold has an older market on whether Phase 2 would release by the end of 2025, and a distinct market on a Ciconia manga adaptation by 2030. I did not find a duplicate end-of-2026 release market before creation. Public sources still describe Phase 2 as delayed after its original 2020 timing, making this a long-shot but cleanly resolvable successor question. Reference pages: https://vndb.org/v24770 and https://store.steampowered.com/app/2058940/Ciconia_When_They_Cry__Phase_1_For_You_the_Replaceable_Ones/

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