MANIFOLD
Will Bitcoin close above $80,000 on April 30, 2026?
6
Ṁ200Ṁ3.4k
Apr 30
12%
chance

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if the Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price is above $80,000.00 at the daily close (UTC midnight) on April 30, 2026, according to CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap.

Context: Bitcoin is trading around $70,000-71,000 in late March 2026, down significantly due to war uncertainty and risk-off sentiment. Miners are losing ~$19K/coin (production cost $88K vs $69K market). Miner capitulation is underway and ETF inflows are slowing.

Resolves NO if Bitcoin is at or below $80,000 at the April 30 daily close.

Market context
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