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MANIFOLD
Will April 2026 headline CPI rise at least 0.6% month-over-month?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ122
in 10 hours
48%
chance

This market tracks the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics April 2026 CPI release. RESOLVES YES if the first BLS April 2026 CPI news release/table reports that CPI-U all items increased by 0.6% or more from March 2026 to April 2026 on a seasonally adjusted basis. RESOLVES NO if that seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change is below 0.6%. Use the BLS-reported rounded percent change in the April 2026 CPI release. If BLS publishes a same-day correction before this market is resolved, use the corrected first-release value. Ignore later revisions after resolution. Primary source: BLS CPI news release and tables for April 2026. The BLS release schedule lists April 2026 CPI for May 12, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET. This market is set to close shortly before that release. Pre-creation checks: Manifold duplicate searches for April 2026 headline CPI 0.6% and related CPI MoM terms found no matching headline-MoM threshold market. BLS lists the April CPI release on May 12 at 08:30 ET; Kiplinger says headline CPI is expected to be up 0.6% m/m and core 0.3% m/m; Investing.com reported a Bank of America headline CPI forecast of 0.5% m/m, with upside risk from energy. Existing related markets cover core CPI m/m or CPI year-over-year, not this headline CPI m/m line. Sources checked before creation: - BLS CPI release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm?lv=true - Kiplinger weekly economic calendar, May 8: https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/economy/this-weeks-economic-calendar - Investing.com / Bank of America April CPI forecast, May 7: https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/bank-of-america-forecasts-us-april-cpi-at-05-on-energy-surge-93CH-4669348

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