The National Football League (NFL) is the main professional league for football of the American variety. Before the 2022-23 NFL season, the NFL sold exclusive streaming rights for some of its primetime games to Amazon Prime Video, something it has done for every season since, including the upcoming 2024-25 NFL season. These Prime-exclusive games are thus Amazon Prime primetime games.
You may know these games as Thursday Night Football, but this is misleading, as at least two Prime-exclusive games are not scheduled for a Thursday this season:
Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs on November 29, 2024 (a Friday)
A Wild Card game on the weekend of January 11-12, 2025
Wikipedia provides the full list of Amazon Prime primetime games for the 2024-25 season. The NFL website provides a partial list (without the Wild Card game). The schedule is subject to change.
A prime game is a game in which both teams score a prime number of points. If an Amazon Prime primetime game is also a prime game, it is an Amazon Prime primetime prime game.
0 is not prime. Neither is 1. But it's worth noting that 2 and 3 are. However, 4 isn't. That being said, 5 is. Despite this, 6 is not prime, although 7 is prime. On the contrary, none of 8, 9, or 10 are prime. Actually, you can just look this up.
The only examples of Amazon Prime primetime prime games so far have been:
Cleveland Browns def. Pittsburgh Steelers 29-17 on September 22, 2022
Philadelphia Eagles def. Houston Texans 29-17 on November 3, 2022
Jacksonville Jaguars def. New York Jets 19-3 on December 22, 2022
All three games occurred during the 2022 NFL season, so the 2022 NFL season would have finished with a prime number of Amazon Prime primetime prime games (3). Meanwhile, the 2023 NFL season would not have finished with a prime number of Amazon Prime primetime prime games (0).
Will the 2024-25 NFL season finish with a prime number of Amazon Prime primetime prime games?
I will not trade on this market.
This market will close:
before kickoff on the final Amazon Prime primetime game of the season (likely the Wild Card game); OR
when it is no longer possible for the 2024-25 NFL season to finish with a prime number of Amazon Prime primetime prime games, whichever is sooner.
2024-25 Amazon Prime primetime games
Week 2: Buffalo Bills def. Miami Dolphins 31-10 (not a prime game)
Now would be a good time to point out that the first game of the season (Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs) kicks off today, which is a Thursday, but it's not an Amazon Prime Video-exclusive game. Thus, it wouldn't count for this market.