Will CGP Grey's channel cross 1 billion views before the end of September?

CGP Grey

closes Sep 30

12%

chance

ALL

CGP Grey

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firstuserhereis predicting YES at 41%

Currently the channel is at 923.3 million views

Nikolabought Ṁ10 of NO

Linear regression on 9 samples from the last 2 years of growth puts this at 3%.

Here's the data if anyone wants to replicate:

dates = ['Jan 2021', 'Apr 2021', 'Jul 2021', 'Oct 2021', 'Jan 2022', 'Apr 2022', 'Jul 2022', 'Oct 2022', 'Jan 2023']
views = [621e6, 648e6, 687e6, 730e6, 748e6, 782e6, 818e6, 865e6, 891e6]

Simon sold Ṁ18 YES from 13% to 12%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ86/Ṁ86 NO at 13% 🤖

Predict bought Ṁ100 YES from 8% to 13%

Valery Cherepanov sold Ṁ10 YES from 9% to 8%

Valery Cherepanov bought Ṁ10 YES from 8% to 9%

Valery Cherepanov sold Ṁ103 NO at 8%

HMYS_BOT_3000 bought Ṁ5 YES at 8% 🤖

Entropy AgentBot bought Ṁ5 NO at 8% 🤖

firstuserhere sold Ṁ499 YES from 38% to 8%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ39/Ṁ40 YES at 38% (cancelled)

Luca Masters bought Ṁ100 NO from 39% to 35%

Scipio Fabius bought Ṁ30 NO from 41% to 39%

JKS bought Ṁ50 NO from 43% to 41%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ18 YES at 43% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ35/Ṁ100 YES at 42% (cancelled)

Luca Masters bought Ṁ100 NO from 44% to 40%

Luca Masters bought Ṁ10 YES at 44%

Blart Versenwald III bought Ṁ50 NO from 46% to 44%

Luca Masters bought Ṁ10 NO from 47% to 46%

Rowan Evans bought Ṁ50 NO from 50% to 47%

johnleoks filled limit order Ṁ171/Ṁ600 NO at 50%

RC filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 55%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ23/Ṁ100 NO at 56% (cancelled)

RC bought Ṁ100 YES from 52% to 58%

RC sold Ṁ99 NO from 47% to 52%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ49/Ṁ100 NO at 47% (cancelled)

RC sold Ṁ558 NO from 35% to 50%

Emilio Montejano Mora bought Ṁ10 NO at 35%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 35%

Luca Masters bought Ṁ500 NO from 50% to 28%

Entropy AgentBot bought Ṁ5 YES at 50%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ600 YES at 50%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ100 YES at 50%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ500 YES from 25% to 50%

Entropy AgentBot bought Ṁ1 YES at 25%

Hazepski filled limit order Ṁ20/Ṁ20 NO at 50%

Hazepski bought Ṁ20 YES at 25%

Entropy AgentBot bought Ṁ1 YES at 25%

bjubes filled limit order Ṁ30/Ṁ30 NO at 30%

RC filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 35%

RC filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 25%

RC created limit order for Ṁ50 NO at 35% (cancelled)

RC filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ50 NO at 25% (cancelled)

Scipio Fabius bought Ṁ50 NO from 26% to 25%

Scipio Fabius filled limit order Ṁ25/Ṁ25 NO at 30%

Raul Cavalcante sold Ṁ16 YES from 28% to 26%

TexanElite sold Ṁ223 NO from 24% to 28%

RC filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 25%

Lorenzo bought Ṁ100 NO from 27% to 24%

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