People seem very excited about Claude Opus 4.5 on Twitter/X right now. This is probably triggered by this Karpathy tweet and Opus's results on the METR time horizons graph.

See this Claude Code engineer. Even Eliezer Yudkowsky says "I sure am talking to an AGI" (doesn't seem like a joke?). Feel free to add your own examples in the comments and I may link them in the poll.

On March 28, I'll make a Manifold poll asking whether in late December, discourse on Twitter about Claude Opus 4.5 was underhyped, overhyped, or about right. If "overhyped" is >50% of responses, this market resolves YES.