Resolves YES if there is a letter released about rationalussy and the possible effects it may have or policies surrounding it by the end of August 2023. Resolves NO otherwise.
We'll call it well-recognized if it gets signed by at least 10 big public figureheads in rationalussy, and at least one Rationalussy Award winner.
A public figurehead in rationalussy is defined as anyone who meets any of these qualifications:
Top 10 creator in the Rationalussy group
Top 5 trader in the Rationalussy group
Recipient of the Rationalussy Award
Recipient of the Manifold rationalussy badge, if it is ever created
At least 69% of people in a poll agree that they have made major contributions to rationalussy discourse
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ292 | |
| 2 | Ṁ278 | |
| 3 | Ṁ119 | |
| 4 | Ṁ84 | |
| 5 | Ṁ76 |
While in the process of writing the Rationalussy Wiki, I realized another overlooked figurehead in rationalussy. Martin Randall clearly contributed to rationalussy discourse by creating this market: https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/what-is-the-best-definition-of-rati
@inerati You’re the top trader on the Rationalussy leaderboard: https://manifold.markets/group/rationalussy?r=RGFuTWFuMzE0
so you already make the cut for this letter
The polls are in! @levifinkelstein, @TheWiggleMan, and @ManualBlinking are all officially considered big public figureheads in rationalussy:
/ButtocksCocktoasten/has-levifinkelstein-made-major-cont
/ButtocksCocktoasten/has-thewiggleman-made-major-contrib
/ButtocksCocktoasten/has-manualblinking-made-major-contr
The other three candidates I have polled so far did not break the required 69% in their polls:
/ButtocksCocktoasten/has-conflux-made-major-contribution
/ButtocksCocktoasten/has-johnsmith9be-made-major-contrib
/ButtocksCocktoasten/has-stralor-made-major-contribution
However, @Conflux is currently tied for 10th place on the Rationalussy creator leaderboard, so he still counts as a public figurehead in rationalussy. Also, I realize that I mistyped @JohnSmithb9be's username in that poll, so maybe I should rerun it, since people may have voted No after clicking on the username and seeing the 404 error. I will see what traders think of this.
I am currently running three more polls for potential candidates!
/ButtocksCocktoasten/has-flaffen-made-major-contribution
@ButtocksCocktoasten FLAFFEN, Yudkowski, and Mira all broke the 69% threshold in their polls, so they are considered public figures in rationalussy as well!
@JosephNoonan Actually, pretty much everyone who was nominated for the First Rationalussy Award and isn't already a "public figure in rationalussy" should be considered. Especially Levi, the Wiggle Man, John Smith, and Manual Blinking. Maybe Mira as well for creating the market that led to Levi's name change.
How does one receive a Rationalussy Award?