If presidential candidates tweet the word "rationalussy", will they win?
30
339
1k
Nov 6
0%
Biden tweets rationalussy; Biden wins
0%
Biden tweets rationalussy; Biden loses
0%
Trump tweets rationalussy; Trump wins
1%
Trump tweets rationalussy; Trump loses
1%
Both tweet rationalussy; Biden wins
0%
Both tweet rationalussy; Trump wins
0%
Both tweet rationalussy; neither wins
47%
Neither tweets rationalussy; Biden wins
51%
Neither tweets rationalussy; Trump wins
0%
Neither tweets rationalussy; neither wins

This market exists to see whether tweeting "rationalussy" affects a candidates chances of victory. The first part of each options resolves based on whether Donald and/or Joe Biden write a tweet containing the word "rationalussy" before Election Day. If only one of them tweets it, then it will resolve to one of the "Biden tweets rationalussy" or "Trump tweets rationalussy" options, depending on who tweets it.

The second part resolves according to who wins the 2024 U.S. presidential election. This part is not conditional on either candidate winning their primary.

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