MANIFOLD
During the Super Bowl, will Trump whine about Bad Bunny like a pathetic little bitch?
263
Ṁ1kṀ48k
resolved Feb 9
Resolved
YES

For the purpose of this market, "during" means up to 2 hours before kickoff or up to 2 hours after the halftime show.

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Trump whines about Bad Bunny like a pathetic little bitch during the period from 4:30 PM ET on February 8, 2026 (2 hours before Super Bowl kickoff) through 10:30 PM ET on February 8, 2026 (2 hours after the halftime show ends). Whining could include posts on Truth Social, statements to media outlets, interviews, or other publicly documented remarks. The market resolves NO if no such statement is made during this window. The market creator reserves the right to determine what constitutes "whining" for the purpose of this market, and pledges not to trade in this market.

Background

Super Bowl LX takes place on Sunday, February 8, 2026, with Bad Bunny's performance expected between 7:00 and 7:30 PM ET. Bad Bunny will make history as the first Latin male artist to headline a Super Bowl halftime show.

President Donald Trump described the announcement as "absolutely ridiculous", and Trump has added that he won't be attending the game at Levi's Stadium. Bad Bunny has been outspoken about politics and endorsed former Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election. He has also frequently criticized Trump, dating back to 2017, following the Trump administration's widely scrutinized response to Hurricane Maria. Most recently, at the 2026 Grammy Awards, Bad Bunny used his platform to criticize Trump's immigration policies, saying "Before I say thanks to God, I'm going to say, ICE out," and "We're not savage, we're not animals, we're not aliens. We are humans, and we are Americans."

Considerations

The choice of Bad Bunny as the halftime pick is controversial, given the current political climate around immigration. The artist removed tour dates on the U.S. mainland in 2025 due to concerns about ICE targeting fans at his concerts. In response to the controversy, Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem announced that ICE agents would be present at the Super Bowl.

This description was generated by AI.

  • Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Criticism of Bad Bunny's music (e.g., calling it "autotuned, derivative pap") would count as whining for the purpose of this market's resolution.

  • Update 2026-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Trump does not need to mention Bad Bunny by name for the market to resolve YES. The creator will use their judgment to determine whether any whining during the specified time period is about Bad Bunny being at the halftime show.

  • Update 2026-02-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Simply advising viewers to watch a different halftime show on another network would not trigger a YES resolution by itself. However, if such a statement is accompanied by whining about the halftime show being "too woke" or similar complaints, then it would count toward YES resolution.

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The Super Bowl Halftime Show is absolutely terrible, one of the worst, EVER! It makes no sense, is an affront to the Greatness of America, and doesn’t represent our standards of Success, Creativity, or Excellence. Nobody understands a word this guy is saying, and the dancing is disgusting, especially for young children that are watching from throughout the U.S.A., and all over the World. This “Show” is just a “slap in the face” to our Country, which is setting new standards and records every single day - including the Best Stock Market and 401(k)s in History! There is nothing inspirational about this mess of a Halftime Show and watch, it will get great reviews from the Fake News Media, because they haven’t got a clue of what is going on in the REAL WORLD — And, by the way, the NFL should immediately replace its ridiculous new Kickoff Rule. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!

@johnNZOy I prefer tweets referenced like this rather than unzoomable screengrabs

The dancing was disgusting. --Trump

Wild. I thought the girls were hot. Maybe they were too old for him

The fat lady has sung!

@CivilizedGuy the orange toddler has twatted

@traders Resolves YES. Whined like a pathetic little bitch.

@BrunoJ Easiest mana ever since I first cut my teeth on @SteveSokolowski 's "will alien life be proved in the next month" markets.

@BrunoJ I concur that @BrunoJ 's aforementioned information constitutes evidence in support of a YES resolution.

@BrunoJ why did e put "slap in the face" in quotation marks

bought Ṁ7,000 YES

resolve yes "Yes, Donald Trump heavily criticized the selection of Bad Bunny as the headliner for the 2026 Super Bowl halftime show, calling it "absolutely ridiculous" and a "terrible choice"

@BetterDonaldJTrump time of statement?

@BetterDonaldJTrump "during the period from 4:30 PM ET on February 8, 2026 (2 hours before Super Bowl kickoff) through 10:30 PM ET on February 8, 2026 (2 hours after the halftime show ends)."

@BetterDonaldJTrump go re-read the resolution criteria.

bought Ṁ17 YES

@AlanMurphy yeah and

@BrunoJ oh yeah sorry anyways

What have I done

bought Ṁ50 YES

@BrunoJ asked a pertinent question:)

opened a Ṁ26 YES at 69% order

If Trump says that he advises his viewers to watch another, different halftime show performance on another network instead, would/could that trigger a YES?

@Quroe Not in and of itself, but if it's accompanied by whining about the halftime show being too woke, or a similar statement, then yes.

I guess if this is number 1 on the front page, then the people wanna know!

opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 75% order

What if he doesn't mention him by name

@ItsMe Like his post after the Grammy awards didn't mention him, so would that have counted?

@ItsMe I'll use my judgment as impartially as I can to determine whether the whining is about Bad Bunny being at the halftime show.

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