Will Lantern Bioworks' Treatment be self-certified and the FDA will not contest by EOY 2024? | Manifold

Will Lantern Bioworks' Treatment be self-certified and the FDA will not contest by EOY 2024?

14

290Ṁ899

resolved Apr 24

Resolved

N/A

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

See here for more detail: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/defying-cavity-lantern-bioworks-faq

It can be approved as any type. Resolves YES iff FDA approves. (this has been updated, see below)

Edit:

Scott Alexander says that the process does not involve actual approval.

New resolution criteria: Resolves Yes iff Lantern "self-certifies" and the FDA does not contest.

Lantern Bioworks

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Lantern Bioworks's cavity-curing bioengineered S. mutans (Lumina) turn out to have horrible downsides by 2029?

-6% 1d9% chance

Will Lantern Bioworks be sued over harm caused by their Lumina treatment by the end of 2028?

Will Lantern Bioworks be sued over harm and found liable for damage caused by their Lumina treatment by the end of 2029?

Will Lantern Biotech get sued for over $1M by 2029?

Will Lantern Bioworks be acquired by the end of 2028?

Will Lantern Bioworks close down before the end of 2028?

Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2026?

Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2028?

Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2027?

Will Lumina / BCS3-L1 by Lantern Bioworks be available in the EU by 2026?

Related questions

Will Lantern Bioworks's cavity-curing bioengineered S. mutans (Lumina) turn out to have horrible downsides by 2029?

Will Lantern Bioworks be sued over harm caused by their Lumina treatment by the end of 2028?

Will Lantern Bioworks be sued over harm and found liable for damage caused by their Lumina treatment by the end of 2029?

Will Lantern Biotech get sued for over $1M by 2029?

Will Lantern Bioworks be acquired by the end of 2028?

Will Lantern Bioworks close down before the end of 2028?

Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2026?

Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2028?

Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2027?

Will Lumina / BCS3-L1 by Lantern Bioworks be available in the EU by 2026?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy