When will Trump violate the terms of the limited gag order placed on him on 10/16/23?
29
1kαΉ€7302
resolved Nov 6
100%45%
Never
1.4%
This week ending 10/22 at midnight.
5%
By the end of October 2023
5%
By the end of 2023
4%
Prior to the 2024 primaries
22%
Prior to the 2024 presidential election
18%
After November 5, 2024

Any ruling by a judge with jurisdiction counts.

Get
αΉ€1,000
to start trading!

πŸ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1αΉ€881
2αΉ€136
3αΉ€92
4αΉ€56
5αΉ€29
Sort by:

This market is about the Chutkan gag order, right? Not the civil case in NY he just violated?

@Joshua Yeah I just realized that's what you're betting against.

The below description makes it quite ambiguous?

> Any ruling by a judge with jurisdiction counts.

Doesn't that mean a judge with jurisdiction over the 10/16 order? The NY Civil gag order was imposed on 10/3.

@Joshua You're probably right, and I should own up to my mistake in not checking the date. Plus cross my fingers for a resolution I don't deserve 🀞

Always possible he goes for two violations in one weekend πŸ˜‚

@Joshua The market was at 51% this morning, so definitely possible yeah haha.

Β© Manifold Markets, Inc.β€’Terms + Mana-only Termsβ€’Privacyβ€’Rules