Will the Conservative Party receive ≥10 million votes at the next General Election?
9
48
Ṁ155Ṁ240
2025
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
At the last General Election in 2019, the Conservative Party won 13,966,454 votes. This was the highest since John Major’s 1992 victory, and translated into 365 seats: a majority of 80.
The Labour Party, meanwhile, won just 10,269,051 votes. This was the lowest since Ed Milliband’s 2015 loss, and translated into just 202 seats.
The next General Election must be held by 28 January 2025, and is widely expected to be held in the second half of 2024. If the Conservative and Unionist Party wins 10,000,000 votes or more at the next general election, this market will resolve to YES. If it receives less, it will resolve to NO.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will the U.K. Conservative Party win fewer than 100 seats at the next general election?
21% chance
Will the Economist endorse the Conservatives in the next UK General Election?
13% chance
Will a UK party that doesn't yet exist gain over 50k members before the next UK General Election?
10% chance
Will the Conservatives / Tories win more than 300 seats at the next UK general election?
7% chance
Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 30 seats in the House of Commons in the next UK general election?
56% chance
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 40 seats at the next UK general election?
24% chance
Will the Conservative Party win fewer than 165 seats at the next General Election? (their worst performance since 1906)
55% chance
After the next General Election, will the Conservative Party only hold seats in England?
15% chance
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 60 seats at the next UK general election?
12% chance
When will the Conservative Party next lead a national poll? (UK general election polling)