Will Sweden and Finland join NATO within one week of each other? | Manifold Markets

closes Jan 1, 2024

Will Sweden and Finland join NATO within one week of each other?

15%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if Sweden and Finland join NATO simultaneously, or if within one week of one joining, the other joins. Resolves NO if one joins and then a week elapses without the other joining. Close date to be extended until one joins.

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kottsiekbought Ṁ200 of NO

https://www.politico.eu/article/finland-turkey-nato-blessing-sweden-sauli-niinisto-recep-erdogan/

NYT: Finland on Cusp of Joining NATO, but Maybe Not With Sweden

Stig Johanbought Ṁ50 of YES

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/finland-sweden-committed-joint-nato-accession-prime-ministers-say-2023-02-02/

Context: "Turkey's Erdogan signals Finland's NATO bid may be considered over Sweden"

Max Payne bought Ṁ100 NO from 16% to 15%

SydneyF bought Ṁ10 NO at 16%

camille furius bought Ṁ10 NO at 16%

cheese doodle bought Ṁ10 NO at 16%

Marcus Handley bought Ṁ10 NO at 16%

Josef Szotkowski bought Ṁ10 YES from 15% to 16%

Bolton Bailey bought Ṁ100 NO from 17% to 15%

Semiotic Rivalry sold Ṁ67 NO from 16% to 17%

Semiotic Rivalry sold Ṁ67 NO from 15% to 16%

Max Payne bought Ṁ100 NO from 16% to 15%

Josh Wilkes bought Ṁ10 YES at 16%

Josh Wilkes sold Ṁ16 NO from 15% to 16%

Jf P sold Ṁ3 YES from 16% to 15%

Gabrielle bought Ṁ100 NO from 17% to 16%

copacetic bought Ṁ50 NO from 18% to 17%

copacetic bought Ṁ50 NO from 19% to 18%

Max Payne bought Ṁ50 NO at 19%

Max Payne sold Ṁ15 YES from 21% to 19%

Chase Gomes bought Ṁ10 NO at 21%

Floffinou bought Ṁ70 NO from 22% to 21%

kottsiek created limit order for Ṁ100 NO at 25%

kottsiek created limit order for Ṁ100 NO at 30%

kottsiek bought Ṁ200 NO from 28% to 22%

Francesco Dondi bought Ṁ10 YES from 27% to 28%

fredrick slick bought Ṁ30 NO from 28% to 27%

Stan Pinsent sold Ṁ72 NO from 25% to 28%

Predict bought Ṁ50 NO from 27% to 25%

A sold Ṁ47 NO from 26% to 27%

Stan Pinsent sold Ṁ24 NO from 25% to 26%

Elio57 sold Ṁ96 NO from 22% to 25%

Stan Pinsent sold Ṁ69 NO from 21% to 22%

Stan Pinsent sold Ṁ79 NO from 19% to 21%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ39/Ṁ100 NO at 19% (cancelled)

Forrest Taylor bought Ṁ40 NO from 21% to 20%

Forrest Taylor sold Ṁ15 YES from 22% to 21%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ53/Ṁ100 NO at 22% (cancelled)

Gabrielle sold Ṁ19 YES from 25% to 23%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ25/Ṁ100 NO at 25% (cancelled)

Stan Pinsent bought Ṁ333 NO from 39% to 26%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ18/Ṁ100 YES at 39% (cancelled)

Stig Johan bought Ṁ40 NO from 40% to 38%

Stig Johan sold Ṁ41 YES from 43% to 40%

Jf P bought Ṁ5 YES from 42% to 43%

Predict sold Ṁ22 YES from 44% to 42%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ22/Ṁ100 NO at 44% (cancelled)

Semiotic Rivalry bought Ṁ63 NO from 49% to 45%

Semiotic Rivalry bought Ṁ21 NO from 51% to 49%

Anton Leicht bought Ṁ50 NO from 54% to 51%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ47/Ṁ100 YES at 54% (cancelled)

Anton Leicht sold Ṁ216 YES from 63% to 51%

Will Finland and Sweden be approved to join NATO by July 1, 2023?

Will Finland join NATO by the 15th of April?

International affairs 2023: Turkey and Hungary approve the accession of Sweden and Finland to NATO?

Will Turkey ratify Sweden's accession to NATO by April 1, 2023?

Will US officials discuss Swedish and/or Finnish NATO membership with Erdoğan before the 2023 NATO Summit?

Will Finland and Sweden be approved to join NATO by July 1, 2023?

Will Finland join NATO by the 15th of April?

International affairs 2023: Turkey and Hungary approve the accession of Sweden and Finland to NATO?

Will Turkey ratify Sweden's accession to NATO by April 1, 2023?

Will US officials discuss Swedish and/or Finnish NATO membership with Erdoğan before the 2023 NATO Summit?