Will ETH/USD be more volatile over 2023 than over 2022?
11
Ṁ215Ṁ300
Jan 1
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ27 +170.2%
New probability
38% +2%
Resolves YES if the volatility of ETH/USD, as measured by root-mean-square of day-over-day log returns, is greater over 2023 than over 2022. I will likely run the calculation myself using Yahoo finance data, or some other data source if that is unavailable.
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