Will comet Nishimura be visible with the naked eye?

resolved Sep 24

Resolved

YES

ALL

https://www.redding.com/story/entertainment/2023/08/24/comet-nishimura-arrives-in-earths-skies-other-sky-wonders-on-the-way/70623864007/

Newly-discovered comet, an eclipse, meteor showers and other sky wonders are on the way

Never heard of Comet Nishimura? An amateur astronomer just discovered it. That and a solar eclipse and meteor showers are coming in 2023.

Resolves YES if there are credible news reports that Nishimura was visible with the naked eye before the close date.

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will DALL-E 3 consistently generate accurate images from the prompt "blue grass, green sky"?

Soli

72% chance

Will the supermassive dark star candidates observed by JWST exhibit spectroscopy consistent with dark stars?

Tom Bouley

47% chance

Is @Iris_IGB attempting to produce and disseminate information about LK-99/Copper Doped Lead Apatite in good faith?

Robert Cousineau

72% chance

Will LK-99 be proven to be diamagnetic in 2023?

Ava Howell

75% chance

Is the fully floating LK-99 video CGI or deceitfully edited?

nanob0nus

57% chance

Conditional on replication in 2023, will an LK-99 superconductor replication later be found to have been spurious?

CK Lorentzen

39% chance

Will studies of wide binaries using Gaia DR4 provided robust evidence for MOND?

Tom Bouley

40% chance

Will DALL-E 3 be able to reliably produce images of any common polygon?

Isaac

62% chance

Will the Future Circular Collider discover any new elementary particle?

Plasma Ballin'

45% chance

Will the source of the Dark Energy effect be found among currently known Standard Model particles?

Joe Charlier

30% chance

Is the Unidentified Car-sized Object over Alaska of Chinese origin?

footgun

24% chance

What is the "golden orb" found in deep see by NOAA?

Martin Modrák

Is the Higgs composite?

Scott Lawrence

21% chance

Will signs of life on K2-18b be confirmed?

Tom Offer

17% chance

By 2030, will the Mu2e experiment at Fermilab find signals of physics beyond the Standard Model?

Ben Guthrie

35% chance

Is the LK-99 breakthrough somehow related to the recent revalations regarding aliens visiting earth?

donald boyd

6% chance

Are neutrinos Majorana particles?

Plasma Ballin'

62% chance

Does a light sterile neutrino explain any experimental physics anomalies?

Eel13

24% chance

Is faster-than-light travel physically possible?

Isaac

18% chance

Asteroid 1998 KY26 exhibits an unexplained acceleration effect. What causes this?

Josh Wilkes

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	Shump	Ṁ151
2	Alucard	Ṁ7
3	Tasty_Y	Ṁ0

12 Comments

6 Positions

21 Trades

Sort by:

Shumppredicted YES

Comet Nishimura: The Brightest Comet 2023 Can Be Visible to the Naked Eye Now

Comet Nishimura made its closest approach to the Earth on September 12. It didn't get bright enough to be seen in the Sun’s glare. However, these are the final days to try your luck at observing the comet. Check out our article to learn how.

Shumpbought Ṁ117 of YES

https://starwalk.space/en/news/new-comet-c2023-p1

7 replies

Joshua Hedlundpredicted NO

@Shump I don’t know if that counts as a substantiated claim. There were many articles claiming it would technically be visible to the naked eye but given the difficulty of the angle with the sun etc I haven’t seen any reports of an actual person verifying that they saw it with their eyes. (I.e. a named person providing a specific location and time where they saw it)

Shumpbought Ṁ60 of YES

@JoshuaHedlund Here are some reports of people seeing it. And that was 12 days ago. It only grew brighter.

https://www.reddit.com/r/Astronomy/comments/16e1xn4/has_anyone_been_able_to_see_the_nishimura_comet/

Joshua Hedlundpredicted NO

@Shump Thanks that’s good info. I only see one user there claiming to have seen it (flick477) but it seems to be a naked eye claim.

Joshua Hedlundpredicted NO

@Shump although the question says “credible news reports” so I don’t know whether or not they would count that. It’s the best detail I’ve seen yet tho

Bolton Bailey

@JoshuaHedlund Well it describes itself as a news report, and it says it was naked eye visible. However it seems like it's on a website run by an astronomy app. This hurts its "credibility" in my mind, since the app has a motivation to hype up the comet to get people to download.

Also I say "reports" in the description, so I would need at least two. @Shump and anyone else interested, I'll give a few days if you want to look more for articles.

Shumppredicted YES

@BoltonBailey Quoting NYT:
"Its brightness will peak over the weekend and into Monday’s sunrise, rivaling that of the North Star. You can use binoculars or a telescope for an even better view."
The implication is clearly that it is visible to the naked eye.

Here's another report that says that it's visible to the naked eye.

That Reddit thread had 2 eyewitnesses (also PerspectivEncounters)