Will Biden *not* be the Democratic nominee?
9
59
แน455แน170
Aug 16
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is a derivative of /NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n . Originally it depended on Biden's performance on the day of the Iowa Caucuses, but now it just resolves to the opposite of the underlying market.
The original title/criteria
Will Biden still be the likely candidate the day of Iowa, but not be nominated anyway?
This market is a derivative of /NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n and /BoltonBailey/will-biden-still-be-the-likely-demo . It resolves YES if the second resolves YES and the first resolves NO.
Get แน600 play money
Related questions
If Joe Biden is the 2024 nominee, will he win the presidential election?
52% chance
Will Biden win the 2024 election?
51% chance
If Biden loses [state] will he win the 2024 presidential election?
Will Joe Biden win the election?
47% chance
Will Biden be the nominee?
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Iowa?
46% chance
Will the candidate who wins Iowa win the 2024 POTUS election?
46% chance
Will Biden win with or without Kamala Harris as VP nominee?
If Biden replaces Kamala Harris as his VP running mate: will he win re-election?
52% chance
If Biden wins [state] will he win the 2024 presidential election?