♻️ 🧟 Will composting of human remains be available in Delaware by 2025?
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At time of market creation, a law has passed the legislature, awaiting action from the governor to legalize human composting. View current status here.
Resolves YES if there is an active human composting operation in Delaware by the end of 2025.
Resolves NO if the governor takes no action, vetos, or if no businesses set up shop to accept and compost human remains by the end of 2025.
Legislation is also close to passage in Maryland.
According to NPR:
Seven states have legalized human composting: Washington, Oregon, Colorado, Nevada, Vermont, and New York….
And it took California lawmakers three tries to pass a law to do the same, but it won't take effect until 2027.
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It’s now fully legal, now just waiting for someone to set up shop in Delaware.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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