175992 with <4 hours left.

Doesn't look like it will exceed 177k

Let alone 180k (I think only something really newsworthy that happens in the next 9 hours could drive it beyond 180k):

https://manifold.markets/Blomfilter/how-many-twitterx-likes-will-tucker-80fd5aee221c

ep 17

@Blomfilter It's weird how probabilities get distorted when impossible choices like 0-150 don't get their shares sold by their owners, and it's not really profitable enough to bet NO against it.

@Blomfilter What are the dynamics for the weekend usually -- does the pace pick up or drop slightly?

@parhizj

@Mcbeebee people are not working when they should or people are unplugging on the weekend? Hmm

@parhizj I not know much. i just hit market create button. blomfiltr think safer to leave future seeing to matplotlib shamans with fancy graph

@Blomfilter Hahaha. That is hilarious. You are being too humble. I checked your Carlson markets, and you made a profit in 26/31 of them (84%). I'm imagining me with a shaman's stick and some incense looking at the python code.

Update for: Aug 17. 11:27 EST
I think 200k-225k is undervalued so I placed a moderate bet YES on it (even though it could very well slow down).

I don't understand why 150-170k is still dominant.... I've bet heavily against it now.
As of 10:49 PM EST (Aug 16) it is at 150444 likes right now, with 116.5 hours left to reach 170100.

This seems unlikely to me that it won't reach 170k:

Edit: Update at 5:06 AM EST (Aug 17) it is at 155259 likes, with ~110 hours left. Still looks like it will easily surpass 170k and the market now reflects that

I guess both tucker and rfk's appeal have fallen off on twitter

@jacksonpolack still a year away from the election, fatigue setting in with everything going on its, its just too much 😆

For this highly dispersed market with a lot of answers I think its better early on (far out in time from resolution) to bet NO against what I think is very unlikely than to try to guess what narrow slice the likes will fall in.

Spoiler alert, he points the finger at Allen Dulles.

@Blomfilter
(150K-175K] I think you meant 170K
Edit: There's a problem with this answer (I checked the rest and they seem fine?). I think if you can edit it to 170K it's fine since it's early.

@parhizj whoops you're right, tried to get it out fast and made a typo. Ok I will clarify in Description that (150-175K] is actually (150K-170K]