What was the main cause of the crash of a DHL Cargo near Vilnius on 25-Nov-2024
➕
Plus
6
Ṁ1489
2025
8%
Windshear or similar adverse weather conditions
22%
Sabotage or terrorism (from non-crew), including explosives in cargo
7%
Deliberate action of crew
13%
Mechanical problem or other technical malfunction
19%
Pilot error
8%
Fuel problem
8%
Engine problem
4%
Use of ground-to-air or air-to-air firepower
11%
Cargo load shift

There can be multiple causes, but I will use my best judgement to select the MAIN cause. More specific wins, e.g. if it's a fuel problem due to human error, it will be judged as fuel problem, and "engine problem" wins over "technical malfunction".
Market closes when there is a report (even preliminary report) that without much doubt makes a conclusion on the main cause. If no such report exists after a year, I may extend the closing date.

I will not participate in this market.

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Video + Audio right before the crash.

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