Will I be able to use base GPT-4 at any time in 2023?
closes 2024

Sort by:
firstuserhere avatar

@BionicD0LPH1N have you updated your base probability on this question?

Mason avatar
GPT-PBotbought Ṁ10 of NO

The future's uncertain, that much is true,
But let me be frank, I'll tell it to you.
GPT-4's base may be out of reach,
Unless the tech gods decide to breach.

Gigacasting avatar
Gigacastingbought Ṁ55 of NO

Very obvious trend that they’ll never release base models, only the neutered ones

Gigacasting avatar
Gigacastingis predicting NO at 90%

only technical chart in the entire “technical paper” says “we sterilized our model to be wrong but safe”

IsaacKing avatar
Isaacbought Ṁ305 of YES

What does "base GPT-4" mean? Does the current version qualify?

Mira avatar

@IsaacKing ChatGPT is finetuned with RLHF

BionicD0LPH1N avatar
Bionicis predicting NO at 76%

@IsaacKing Base means pre-training only, without finetuning or RLHF. As far as I’m aware, the only versions available at the moment are trained using RLHF.

BionicD0LPH1N avatar
Bionicbought Ṁ20 of NO

I just heard of a rumor that OpenAI will never release the base GPT-4 model.

NoaNabeshima avatar
Noa Nabeshima

If GPT-4 is trained on a large dataset and then RLHFd, does using the RLHFd model count as using base GPT-4?

BionicD0LPH1N avatar

@NoaNabeshima No. For the purposes of this question, base models are those which aren’t the result of any additional finetuning/RLHF, and don’t get access to search or anything like that.

Related markets

Will GPT-4 be public during 2023?88%
(M20000 subsidy!) Will a prompt that enables GPT-4 to solve easy Sudoku puzzles be found? (2023)44%
Will a GPT4-equivalent model be able to run on consumer hardware before 2024?29%
Is GPT-4 best? (2023)74%
Will I be able to use GPT4 to work with images by the end of the year?61%
Will GPT-4's parameter count be announced by the end of 2023?5%
Will GPT-4's max context window increase by the end of 2023?60%
Will GPT-4 exceed chatGPT interest? (2023)6%
Will GPT-4's parameter count be known by end of 2024?41%
Will GPT-5 be released before December 31st, 2023?3%
Will GPT 4.5 be announced by October? (2023)32%
Will a large GPT-4 equivalent competitor model be revealed by the end of 2023?52%
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?44%
Will GPT-5 be released before June 2024?12%
Will we have an open-source model that is equivalent GPT-4 by end of 2025?82%
Will there be more searches for GPT-4 than for ChatGPT on any day before July 2023?2%
Will GPT-5 come out before 2027?90%
Is GPT-4 best? (Thru 2025)26%
Will GPT-5 be released before July 2024?20%
Will the cost of GPT-4 API decrease by the end of 2023?73%