Same as https://manifold.markets/BionicD0LPH1N/what-weird-unlikely-thing-will-happ Doing this was fun for me last time, so I've decided to run it again. Description: At the close of this market, I will order the responses from most likely to least likely to happen in the week that follows. Then, one week after close, I will resolve this question to the most unlikely (in my opinion) response that actually ends up happening. The responses may be personal or not. I need to easily be able to tell whether they happened or not, though. [This wasn't respected much last time, frankly, and this time I'll try to disqualify more responses that are vague or up to interpretation] Note that the subjective likelihoods I give for each response will take into account the existence of this market. For example, it would be a priori extremely unlikely that I receive the specific message "3912817102" on June 28th at 8:39 AM ET through discord by the user @bob2946197471. But if it becomes a response in this market, it won't be nearly as unlikely anymore (still fairly unlikely though!). That is not to say that such responses are disallowed, only less unpredictable. Think of something which I'll be surprised that it happened, even after I know its existence as a prediction! ( I'll give my likelihoods publicly at the end of this week, so it'll also be a public testament to my calibration skills or lack thereof :P )

Jul 22, 11:07pm: I need to be able to tell relatively easily whether the thing in question happened or not. (otherwise it will be disqualified)