BR Congress 2024-2026 Mega-market: Which of these proposals will the Brazilian Congress approve before the end of 2026?
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2027
73%
Constitutional prohibition of carrying any quantity of illicit drugs (e.g., PEC 45/23)
69%
Time limit for the demarcation of Indigenous Lands (e.g., PEC 48/23 - "Marco Temporal das Terras Indígenas")
63%
Amnesty for electoral fines for non-compliance with racial and gender quotas (e.g., PEC 9/23)
57%
Expansion of self-declared environmental licensing (e.g., PL 2159/21)
51%
Legalization of gambling (e.g., PL 2234/22)
50%
New law to regulate health plans (e.g., PL 7419/06)
50%
Regulation of the Tax Reform approved in 2023 (rules for the new IVA)
46%
Mineral exploration in Conservation Units (e.g., PL 5822/19)
42%
Change of attribution for the demarcation of Indigenous Lands to Congress (e.g., PEC 59/23)
39%
Prohibition of the reinstatement of Armed Forces members who leave the position to run in elections (e.g., PEC 42/23)
39%
Reduction of the legal reserve proportion in the Amazon (e.g., PL 3334/23)
36%
Some reform of military pensions
33%
Change in percentages or rules for calculating the constitutional floor for health and/or education expenses
33%
Attribution for states to legislate on the carrying and possession of firearms (e.g., PLP 108/23)
31%
Return of the five-year bonus payment for the Public Ministry and public defenders (e.g., PEC 10/23)
28%
Increase in the duration of paternity leave for all cases that currently have this right (e.g., PL 6216/23)
26%
Some increase in the responsibilities of digital platforms for false content ("PL das Fake News")
24%
Criminalization of a legal hypothesis for abortion that is currently considered legal (e.g., PL 1904/24 - "PL do Estuprador")
24%
Prohibition of plea bargains during preventive detention (e.g., PL 4372/16)
22%
Creation of fixed-term mandates for Supreme Court justices (e.g., PEC 16/19)

I will resolve each option according to reports by credible news sources or, when in doubt, according to the Chamber of Deputies and/or the Senate's press agencies.

There is no need for the proposals to be sanctioned by the President-in-charge for me to resolve them as YES. It is enough that the proposal is approved according to all needed steps of the legislative process—e.g., it is approved in two turns by a qualified majority in both Houses in case of a Constitutional Amendment, by a simple majority in both Houses for a common Bill proposal, etc.

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