Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if measurable precipitation (rain) falls in Los Angeles on January 20, 2026. Resolution will be determined by the National Weather Service Los Angeles official records or verified weather data from sources like Weather Underground or the National Weather Service. Any amount of precipitation counts—even trace amounts. The market resolves NO if no precipitation occurs during the calendar day in Los Angeles.

Background

Los Angeles typically has 17 rainy days in January with a total of 66.6 mm of rainfall, making rain relatively uncommon on any given day. Current forecast for January 20 shows a 1% precipitation probability with a mix of clouds and sun.