33
658
590
resolved Sep 18
Resolved
YES

I used https://randomwordgenerator.com/ to generate 3 random words. I used the first three words I generated.

I then came up with three words on my own, after seeing the first set of words. I did not use any randomized method for selecting my set of words.

I used an online coin flip to assign the order of the two sets of words.

Bet for the set of words that you believe to be the RANDOM set. (if you think the "YES" set of words is randomly generated, bet "YES", if you think the "NO" set of words is randomly generated, bet "NO".

I will obviously not bet in this market. I took a picture of the random word generator that will have a time stamp on my iphone. If people like this market, I will iterate on it and make more exciting/strategically interesting versions :)

YES: consideration gossip orchestra

NO: fervent production rhyme

Get Ṁ200 play money

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Congratulations y'all! Check out the new market, which should be a little more tricky hopefully.

sold Ṁ88 of NO

Ah, "fervent" seems not to be in the word set. It's not even in the extended list.

bought Ṁ0 of NO

@DanMan314 Yeah, rhyme isn't in the main set either

bought Ṁ100 of NO

I have no idea how anyone would feel confident enough to bet this up to 88%

predicted NO

@DanMan314 My thought was maybe someone found the dictionary of words used for the random word generator?

(or otherwise figured something important out against how the random word generator works. Either way, I feel reluctant to bet against someone betting hard in one way who has a good track record)

Would love to hear ppl’s thought process on this!