Will the VIX index close above 30 at any point in 2024?
Basic
10
Ṁ879
Jan 1
12%
chance

This market tracks the likelihood that the VIX index, Wall Street’s “fear index”, will close above 30 at any point for the rest of 2024. The VIX index measures the 30-day implied volatility of S&P 500 options.

Pricing data according to Yahoo Finance https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EVIX/

Market ends on the last trading day of 2024 (Tuesday, December 31 2024) at 4PM EST.

  • Resolves YES if at any point from 8/29/2024-12/31/2024 the closing price of the VIX index finishes above or exactly at 30.00.

  • Resolves NO if at any point from 8/29/2024-12/31/2024 the closing price of the VIX index DOES NOT finish above or exactly at 30.00.

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bought Ṁ126 YES

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EVIX/
Resolves yes according to this, I think. Aug 5

@asmith read the criteria to resolve yes again. The poll started after that.

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