Will Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2024?
77
636
Ṁ10KṀ1.3K
Dec 31
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
I created a market for parliamentary elections:
https://manifold.markets/JanCzechowski/will-ukraine-hold-a-parliamentary-e?r=SmFuQ3plY2hvd3NraQ
@BenjaminIkuta Interestingly, it is considered very unlikely that the elections will take place as scheduled... Seems like either people expect something to change dramatically in the second half of 2024, or there's a lot of room for arbitrage :)
@BenjaminIkuta Hm, I googled and your friend seems to be right. I was operating under the assumption that the default case is for election to happen normally.
@42irrationalist Lmao, did my comment really just tank this market? Smh my head, prediction markets BTFO'd.
Related questions
Will Vladimir Putin step foot in Ukraine by the end of 2024?
36% chance
Will Zelenskyy be re-elected as president of Ukraine in the next election?
59% chance
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reelected president of Ukraine?
76% chance
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2026?
36% chance
Will Ukraine hold a parliamentary election in 2024?
28% chance
What year will the next Ukrainan presidential election take place?
When will Ukraine hold their next Presidential election?
If Biden is elected in 2024, will Ukraine win the war with Russia?
40% chance
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy still be the President of Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
66% chance
Will a US President visit Ukraine in 2025?
48% chance