Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Bitcoin (BTC) achieves a new all-time high (ATH) at any point between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.

To achieve a new all-time high, Bitcoin's price must exceed its previous record of $126,198.07 (established on October 6, 2025).

• Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined using the BTC/USD price reported by major tracking sites such as CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap, or major spot exchanges (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken) via TradingView.

• Clarification on the $100,000 Threshold: Because the existing ATH of $126,198.07 is already above $100,000, any new ATH set in 2026 will mathematically satisfy the "above $100,000" condition. If Bitcoin trades above $100,000 in 2026 but does not break its previous ATH of $126,198.07, this market will resolve to NO.

Background

Bitcoin experienced an immense bull run in late 2024 and 2025, breaking the $100,000 mark for the first time in December 2024 and reaching its historic peak of $126,198.07 on October 6, 2025. Following that peak, the price underwent a correction and has traded mostly in the $70,000 to $80,000 range through mid-2026. This market tracks whether Bitcoin can regain its upward momentum to set a brand new record high before the end of 2026.

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