Did I resolve my O'Hare snow market correctly today?
2
100Ṁ915
Nov 11
99%
chance

I made a market a couple of days ago that asked if the official snowfall totals at Chicago O'Hare during November 9th and 10th would be above 8 inches. I resolved this to No, figuring that all reasonable people would agree that this would resolve to no, but I was not faithful to the stated resolution criteria, which I don't view as particularly fair.

This market resolves that unfairness, by staking me at worse odds to the snow totals at O'Hare on November 9th and 10th being below 8 inches. This market will resolve to yes if the official snowfall totals at Chicago O'Hare, on November 9th and 10th, is 8.0 inches or below. It will resolve to no if the snowfall totals for these 2 days are 8.1 inches or above. I will check these totals tomorrow morning and won't resolve the market until tomorrow morning.

I don't really expect anyone to bet in this market but me, but I figured it was worth doing for fairness sake. I will also open a large limit order at 99% to make sure that anyone who wants to take the other side of the bet gets a fair shake.

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