Will Grok remain the #1 model on the Chatbot Arena through March 31? [Polymarket]
Will Grok remain the #1 model on the Chatbot Arena through March 31? [Polymarket]
38
1kṀ35k
resolved Mar 9
Resolved
NO

See the polymarket market:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by xAI has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) continuously from February 18, to March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If a listed modeI ties xAI for the #1 Arena score, it will not qualify to resolve this market to "No."

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

Technology
AI
Elon musk
LLMs
Grok 3
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3mo

@Bayesian Can resolve

4mo

i would include "chatbot arena" in the title

3mo

@SaviorofPlant good idea

opened a Ṁ2,750 NO at 35% order4mo

order @Bayesian

bought Ṁ100 YES3mo

@jim poly is down to 33%, if you place a NO at 28% i'll fill some

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