I'll have a poll a week after the first "flagship" version of Gemini 3.0 is released Flagship excludes lower compute versions, that have historically had names like "flash" or "flash lite".
The poll will ask: "Is Gemini 3.0 basically state of the art at everything?"
I will let market participants interpret this question as they see fit / to their preferred level of pedantry.
I reserve the right to close the market right before the Gemini 3.0 release or in the week leading to the creation of the poll, but the market will definitely close before the poll is created to avoid particularly bad incentives.
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@Bayesian Thank you Bayesian, but I can't meet you there until a few people buy enough YES "Will 5,000+ Gazans starve" at its new low price. Not to sell, but so I can justify to myself buying much of anything else.